Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 14.075898 16.366407 18.853295 21.746545 25.012239 28.576236 32.751945
2025-10-26 10.095593 13.207418 16.926042 21.660410 27.487056 34.380634 43.106434
2025-11-02 7.663679 11.035421 15.386009 21.327965 29.136925 38.944920 52.074473
2025-11-09 6.010982 9.411211 14.097900 20.888599 30.308995 42.726774 60.106309
2025-11-16 4.800480 8.115041 12.964710 20.369973 31.138955 45.935356 67.438518
2025-11-23 3.807820 6.930771 11.767313 19.523986 31.304479 48.111430 73.375245
2025-11-30 3.372785 6.533084 11.664610 20.232185 33.708968 53.522562 84.111419
2025-12-07 3.014438 6.192404 11.586011 20.931621 36.110050 59.038643 95.291547
2025-12-14 2.525612 5.528855 10.873192 20.503797 36.676385 61.801231 102.510920
2025-12-21 2.104210 4.909332 10.141024 19.937105 36.927082 64.038993 109.000200
2025-12-28 1.950241 4.786614 10.275856 20.865521 39.694119 70.361535 122.122413
2026-01-04 1.793635 4.629340 10.320638 21.623854 42.209175 76.402133 135.089487
2026-01-11 1.563550 4.291273 10.012229 21.776326 43.818847 81.286559 146.867042
2026-01-18 1.353618 3.960508 9.681499 21.868974 45.367448 86.239769 159.182081
2026-01-25 1.142661 3.577839 9.181846 21.564756 46.149404 89.921289 169.582216
2026-02-01 0.956477 3.210449 8.652903 21.126527 46.618718 93.057568 179.198436
2026-02-08 0.795671 2.867622 8.119624 20.603743 46.856933 95.765850 188.185583
2026-02-15 0.643705 2.505292 7.474883 19.749571 46.341368 97.039850 194.678640
2026-02-22 0.592121 2.433831 7.532296 20.464787 49.059941 104.444639 212.492091
2026-03-01 0.545145 2.364895 7.584818 21.171096 51.807933 112.048795 231.020720
2026-03-08 0.458466 2.135829 7.176028 20.739076 52.103825 114.972428 241.080477
2026-03-15 0.380423 1.910294 6.734290 20.166804 52.034801 117.161896 249.854310
2026-03-22 0.359752 1.896033 6.891389 21.104349 55.368656 126.242866 272.047887